Good and Bad News From Bruce Power on the return of nuclear reactor

First the bad news.  There has been a delay in Bruce Power's refurbished Unit 2 connecting to the grid:

Bruce A Operations update | Bruce Power:

"TIVERTON, ON – May 18, 2012 – For the first time in 17 years, the Unit 2 reactor at Bruce A was producing steam and operating as per plan in the lead-up to generating electricity and connecting to Ontario’s electricity grid.
An hour prior to synchronization to the grid last week, an issue was identified within the electrical generator on the non-nuclear side of the plant. The electrical generator protection worked as designed and the approach to connect to the grid was stopped. This generator, common to all power plants, had been upgraded as part of the refurbishment project by Siemens Canada.
Following initial inspections throughout this week, it is clear repairs will need to be made to this electrical generator. Bruce Power has enlisted the expertise of Siemens Canada to assess the situation and then complete repairs as soon as possible. Although the Unit 2 reactor is ready to operate, the repair to this non-nuclear system will have an impact on when Unit 2 will be able to deliver electricity to the grid. "

The full release can be read at the Bruce Power Website

Now the good news.
There has been a delay in Bruce Power's refurbished Unit 2 connecting to the grid:



Currently, at the IESO website, the surplus baseload generation expectations are running pretty high for the next 10 days.

HOEP hourly forecast for Saturday, May 19

The hourly price forecast for the fist of those 10 days is up on the site - down in every other way.  It looks like that 10,000MWh of excess baseload generation may be costly to dispose of, although there's a good chance the IESO will find a way to do so that avoids the price forecast currently posted in their day-ahead chart.

Saturday the 26th the forecast is for 76,000MWh of excess.

Seven and a half times the forecast surplus for the 19th.

About 3200MW/hour of surplus - which is all 4 units at Bruce A.

Date	Surplus Baseload Generation for Hour
	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Export Forecast
2012-05-19	916	1280	1466	1384	1347	1104	783	343	85	72	204	164	5							224	710	2200
2012-05-20	1067	1513	1818	1795	1787	1691	1650	1183	717	304	309	204	8								178	2200
2012-05-21	874	1987	2257	2166	2062	1816	1879	1722	1324	744	912	998	1042	676	561	368	114	111			455	1700
2012-05-22	1462	2001	2293	2281	1996	1272	1110	626	240	8					354	837	1308	1492	1186	856	1191	1700
2012-05-23	1786	2180	2376	2286	1936	957				612	625	485	259	178	341	538	525	132		854	1672	1700
2012-05-24	2335	2588	2810	3062	2679	1660	404	107	213	1103	866	647	492	409	707	930	678	291	808	725	1688	1700
2012-05-25	3112	3657	3835	3687	3366	2317	1037	747	1159	931	779	750	776	847	1162	1287	1019	352	763	1555	2501	1700
2012-05-26	3479	3929	4130	4296	4172	3909	3412	2873	2853	3029	3141	3346	3084	2715	2631	2589	2651	1833	2368	3192	3866	2000
2012-05-27	3089	3231	3515	4250	4056	3605	3169	2638	2299	3381	3704	3667	3346	2904	2838	2588	2108	1356	963	1771	2574	2000
2012-05-28	3180	3294	3391	3729	3168	2143	772	181	361	996	993	885	824	817	956	1031	680	17	589	1519	2336	2000